RCJoh-@attglobal.net
My interest in the weather was more to do with the earlier races as the
summer events are pretty predictable in that respect. Since the issue
of racing in the cold/wet has been raised as a negative motivating
factor I was curious to see if that would show up in the attendance
figures.
What I'm hoping to devine is intended to help everyone. On one hand if
we just stick to the established recipe for sucess we can expect only
races in April and May that are part of a series to be highly sucessful.
But, if we can reach some conclusions about what are the significant
factors behind that attendance peak we can perhaps improve attendance at
more events.
To me the key questions are:
Is the calendar date really as significant as it seems on the surface?
To see that big of a change there must be something behind it. Perhaps
April and May are just "magic months". Many have speculated but we have
not uncovered the rock where these missing racers go to hide under come
June.
How much effect does the weather (or perceived weather) really have? Is
there a "weather threshhold" where attendance can be predicted to
suffer? Or is all the talk about weather really just whining?
Rick
Randy Dreiling wrote:
There are 3 races in the "Summer" (oakridge, fall city
and lakeview)and all had great sunny days if I
remember right and has I said in one of my many
replies not sure if it was to this or the misinfo post
on my 12 Hour that went into a lot of race issue's
too...if you want other issue's look at my 12 Hour
reply and remember I am not trying to be rude or
whine, just explain what happens every year and how
other think effect race turn out.. Oakridge, Fall
City and Lakview can not race any sooner Oakridge and
Fall City because of spotted owls and Lakeview because
the snow is still on the course until late June.
I am glad this came up
Thanks
Randy
--- RCJoh-@attglobal.net wrote:
Now we're getting somewhere, interesting analysis.
My questions then,
since you have the data:
For the two seasons what was the difference in the
total number of races
offered prior to the peak period?
Clearly the value of being part of a series is
significant. Was the
number of series races available after May
comparable for both seasons?
Weather has been sited by some as an attendance
factor. I suppose it's
too much to ask that there was some way to analyze
if there was a
correlation with attendance? For instance, could it
be determined if
attendance is better for sunny/warm races or are the
other factors more
significant?
Rick
shane.-@comcast.net wrote:
Last year did not have a compressed schedule like
years past, at least
for the series that Randy and Mike put on. Still
there was a
significate drop in riders for the MTB series the
first week in June. I
did a simple anlysis from the numbers last year
and the year before that
Candi supplied. Races that had the greatest turn
out had these things
in common in order of biggest factor:
were in April and May,
were apart of the high school series,
were apart of the Oregon MTB series,
were on Sunday.
Races in April and May had nearly double the
racers and in some case
almost triple. Races that were in the high school
series had 40 to 50
riders more. Races that not apart of the Oregon
MTB series lost 1/4 to
1/2 of their attendance from years that they were
in the series. Races
that were on Sunday had more people that races on
Saturday.
I don't think that the schedule is skewed by any
other factor than sheer
demand.
-------------- Original message --------------
From: Randy Dreiling <ragg-@yahoo.com>
Great question...one thing is that JR's stop
racing
and they can be 15%-30% of the turn out at some
Mt
Bike races.
Other then that I would love to know the answer.
Randy
--- RCJoh-@attglobal.net wrote:
What I'd really like to know about this
attendance
drop-off phenomenon
is if it is causative or symptomatic?
In other words - is the cause of the
attendance drop
off because people
simply don't want to race after that date?
Or is the drop off a symptom of the highly
compressed schedule inducing
burn-out, and therefore, lack of attendance?
I'm not meaning to be argumentative, just that
clearly understanding the
situation requires an accurate diagnosis.
Rick
Randy Dreiling wrote:
Number of racers at Mt Bike races drop by a
HUGE
amount after May or June every year. Been
promoting
10 years and you can see the drop.
Thanks
Randy
--- RCJoh-@attglobal.net wrote:
---------------------------------
Sounds good as long as we don't wind up with
yet
more races stackedfrom late February through
May.
Remember the tread from a few months ago
discussing
why is the racecalender so heavily weighted
to the
earliest part of the season andgoes through
the
doldrums just when the weather is at it's
nicest?
Rick
brice-@hotmail.com wrote:
Another vote for more Saturday races.Evan
Plews
wrote:
How about some Saturday races for a change.
Doesn't
anyone go to church on Sunday anymore? Bunch
of
heathens anyway :)Actually that brings up a
good
point. Are cyclists generally religious or
not???Kori
Kunz wrote:
In an attempt to decide which races to focus
on
(since I would really like to do all of them
but
know
that's not a sustainable approach) I'm
wondering
what
kinds of MTB series are out there this year,
and
which one offers the best prize money. Yep,
I'm
not
looking for any more trophies on my mantel,
just
going
straight for the mercenary incentive. Of
course
I'll
also be weighing the amount of single track
in
proportion to the distance to drive (and
conflicting
road races), but the dollars will be a very
influential factor. Mike? Randy? Petr? What
are
you serving up this year? Looking forward to
it.
Cheers, Kori
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